Copom negocia Selic, deverá ser mantida em 13,75%

Por Fala Regional 22/03/2023 Copom deu início à sua segunda reunião do ano com o objetivo de definir os juros básicos. Com informações da Agência Brasil. (Foto: Marcello Casal JrAgência Brasil)

Há expectativas de que a taxa Selic seja mantida em 13,75% ao ano.

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Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) do Banco Central (BC) deu início à sua segunda reunião do ano em Brasília para definir a taxa básica de juros, a Selic.

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Mesmo com pressões do governo federal para reduzir a taxa, o órgão deve manter o aperto monetário com a Selic em 13,75% ao ano.

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Após a primeira reunião do Copom em janeiro, o presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva afirmou que os juros elevados prejudicam os investimentos e que não há justificativa para que a Selic permaneça neste patamar.

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O ministro da Fazenda, Fernando Haddad, por sua vez, defendeu maior coordenação entre a política fiscal e a política monetária do BC para controlar a inflação.

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Apesar de a taxa básica ter parado de subir em agosto do ano passado, ela está atualmente no nível mais alto desde o início de 2017 e os efeitos de um aperto monetário já estão sendo sentidos na desaceleração da economia.

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De acordo com a edição mais recente do boletim Focus, uma pesquisa semanal com analistas de mercado, a taxa básica de juros deverá ser mantida em 13,75% ao ano pelo quinto mês consecutivo. No entanto, a expectativa do mercado financeiro é que a Selic encerre o ano em 12,75% ao ano.

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Copom anunciará em breve a decisão final. Na ata da última reunião em janeiro, o comitê expressou preocupação com a deterioração das expectativas de inflação a longo prazo e não descartou novas elevações na taxa Selic caso o processo de desinflação não ocorra como o esperado.

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O aumento dos gastos públicos e a incerteza fiscal também podem resultar em manutenção dos juros elevados por mais tempo do que o previsto inicialmente.

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Recentemente, o presidente do Banco Central, Roberto Campos Neto, defendeu a autonomia da instituição na definição da política monetária e destacou a importância de se pensar em políticas monetárias e fiscais de longo prazo para um crescimento econômico sustentável.

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Ele também elogiou o pacote de medidas já apresentado pelo governo e tem expectativas positivas em relação ao novo arcabouço fiscal que será apresentado pelo Ministério da Fazenda para substituir o teto de gastos que limita as despesas do governo à inflação do ano anterior.

[{"selector":"#anim-671d7917-250a-4ff2-bcc3-94afc1120798","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6c756a02-27e9-4948-a9ca-5448a6bdc967","keyframes":{"transform":["rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, -67.65263%, 0) rotate(349deg)","rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, 0px, 0) rotate(349deg)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7877e1f6-8e60-49dc-b27d-2f081306f9c5","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":350,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7c02f5a9-7b0d-4807-baac-0e095f9e0660","keyframes":{"transform":["rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, -64.23967%, 0) rotate(349deg)","rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, 0px, 0) rotate(349deg)"]},"delay":350,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-26509213-dd7e-4d83-b211-7764fd32e605","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":650,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-9b4ea57d-c101-4ee7-8615-41205abc28b1","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":700,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-65e876fd-5aa9-48a4-a65c-2207ac86a3b1","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 149.90389%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":700,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] (Foto: Marcello Casal JrAgência Brasil)

Depois de quedas nos últimos meses de 2022, as expectativas de inflação estão em alta. Embora tenha havido uma variação negativa no último boletim Focus, a estimativa de inflação para 2023 permanece elevada em 5,95%.

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Em fevereiro, impulsionado pelo grupo educação, que teve reajustes aplicados pelos estabelecimentos de ensino no início do ano, o IPCA (Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo) ficou em 0,84%, de acordo com o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE).

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Com esse resultado, o indicador acumulou alta de 1,37% no ano e de 5,6% nos últimos 12 meses, percentual inferior aos 5,77% registrados no período imediatamente anterior.

[{"selector":"#anim-f3183090-4c94-4970-b386-c3c2246fff4c","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-964cdc8b-11fc-4200-b19b-9a8ed0aa7d01","keyframes":{"transform":["rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, -67.65263%, 0) rotate(349deg)","rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, 0px, 0) rotate(349deg)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3e715db7-77c1-4b59-928a-da2ab8537a9f","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":350,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ca9699d8-9fbe-4db4-924d-2f32f20f7cd2","keyframes":{"transform":["rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, -64.23967%, 0) rotate(349deg)","rotate(-349deg) translate3d(0px, 0px, 0) rotate(349deg)"]},"delay":350,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-26a96d1c-fe3f-460c-ae79-3a4e69d98e14","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":650,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-57de68f5-9d52-47c0-8217-3cca8ce1c707","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":700,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-99694b3a-2388-4793-9bc2-2aaa4a943420","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 236.73345%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":700,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] (Foto: Marcello Casal JrAgência Brasil)

[{"selector":"#anim-79d4e346-95df-455d-9f02-8870076bc0b1","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":1800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-85b2969c-f353-41c8-a5ad-2f321d5f43ba","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-36.32286%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":1800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b5f2b139-e700-49e1-a065-30e041eced23","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":1950,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6cd8f7fb-ad8d-453a-a82f-9f0452cf03ed","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-26da2c2b-e73a-48bc-a550-f75670abdd59","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(109.00902%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-03127ffc-7504-457a-a308-b1b41dd9db79","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e3a611e8-814f-4c87-a674-ca439f26bb10","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(111.41141%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-fb21e714-82f4-4989-8a15-625224e63f14","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":600,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-d0385d92-028d-4467-84d5-cbfb5f4a6117","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":500,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-86df0e60-dc4e-425d-a913-7ed7e77d79d6","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-9361dc6e-1b69-4f86-9aa5-66531b5a3a39","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(109.00902%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6a265c60-8773-441d-8cbe-e073042a2a21","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7a0aab66-3403-479d-af95-d9f20bbe7203","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(111.41141%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7cfaf47a-e15b-4ccd-88b0-65012c53b41f","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":1600,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e40a08c4-8545-483d-bd19-fe7222ffe88f","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":1500,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Veja todas as edições do Jornal Fala Regional Confira as últimas notícias de hoje